Uzbekistan risks losing 3.5 billion kilowatt-hours of solar and wind energy – EDB
Surplus generation is proposed to be transferred to neighboring countries, but this will require network upgrades, digitalization of management, and unified trading standards.
According to Uzbekistan's power system plan for 2026–2028, forced curtailment of generation could reach nearly 3.5 billion kilowatt-hours by the end of 2028. The Eurasian Development Bank (EDB) attributes this risk to limited grid capacity, insufficient reserves, and underdeveloped short-term balancing.
The estimate is based on the assumption that the country's renewable energy capacity will grow to approximately 11.4 gigawatts by 2028. The target for 2030 is set at 25 gigawatts. Therefore, accelerated commissioning of power plants amid infrastructure lag could increase the volume of curtailments.
In 2024, electricity exchange in the Central Asian unified power system reached 12.1 billion kilowatt-hours, accounting for 8.5% of regional consumption. More efficient trading will require modernization of national grids, coordination of operating modes, and further expansion of cross-border supplies.
